Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.050944 0.059461 0.068817 0.079838 0.092446 0.106397 0.122983
2025-03-02 0.037306 0.048235 0.061367 0.078226 0.099209 0.124367 0.156711
2025-03-09 0.029291 0.041464 0.057286 0.079166 0.108421 0.145935 0.197389
2025-03-16 0.022539 0.034691 0.051659 0.076753 0.112516 0.161166 0.231753
2025-03-23 0.019350 0.032047 0.050920 0.080487 0.124967 0.188551 0.285221
2025-03-30 0.016166 0.028695 0.048442 0.081078 0.132681 0.209850 0.332224
2025-04-06 0.013203 0.025054 0.044808 0.079153 0.136052 0.224780 0.371063
2025-04-13 0.010972 0.022177 0.041861 0.077736 0.139777 0.240300 0.411975
2025-04-20 0.009968 0.021290 0.042111 0.081626 0.152516 0.271163 0.479902
2025-04-27 0.008987 0.020246 0.041877 0.084547 0.163800 0.300547 0.547901
2025-05-04 0.007569 0.018041 0.039109 0.082379 0.165687 0.314017 0.590056
2025-05-11 0.006539 0.016441 0.037244 0.081613 0.169933 0.331799 0.640984
2025-05-18 0.005503 0.014643 0.034745 0.079341 0.171244 0.344783 0.685259
2025-05-25 0.004676 0.013155 0.032656 0.077604 0.173374 0.359455 0.733961
2025-06-01 0.004159 0.012316 0.031853 0.078468 0.180810 0.384803 0.804770
2025-06-08 0.003511 0.010989 0.029703 0.076040 0.181065 0.396136 0.849603
2025-06-15 0.003297 0.010789 0.030208 0.079723 0.194811 0.435538 0.952665
2025-06-22 0.002946 0.010121 0.029442 0.080300 0.201750 0.461618 1.031087
2025-06-29 0.002529 0.009159 0.027755 0.078387 0.202811 0.475479 1.085608
2025-07-06 0.002193 0.008359 0.026356 0.076980 0.204847 0.491524 1.145857
2025-07-13 0.002089 0.008292 0.026963 0.080834 0.219818 0.536937 1.271848
2025-07-20 0.001959 0.008104 0.027198 0.083729 0.232745 0.578830 1.393254
2025-07-27 0.001689 0.007356 0.025659 0.081579 0.232876 0.591852 1.452330